Kherson Weekly: 19 April-16 May 2025
A “Weekly” Review of War-Related Events in & around Kherson
Photo: The Tunnel Light
Given that a month has passed already since my last update, we have much to discuss in this issue of Kherson Weekly. First let me apologize for the absence–I’ve been working exhaustively on the Ukraine Daily Update Map. Readers may already know my primary role at both Tochnyi and Andrew’s Basement doing the news mapping, so it requires my attention first. And honestly, without first doing the work required in making the map, Kherson Weekly simply could not exist. So please, remember to visit the map I help create every day with Andrew and his team by clicking the button below.
Three New Drone Groups
Photos: Clover Group ; Alpha Group ; Atomic Warriors
NEW: The Clover Group
Photo: Clover Group
The Clover Group’s channel was initially created right at the beginning of the Human Safari in June 2024, releasing a weekly compilation video almost every week throughout late 2024 and early 2025. This group appears to be responsible for Russian drone attacks in northern Beryslavskyi Raion. We do not have a specific brigade or division to which they are subordinated or connected to just yet.
#1
05.09.2025
In a truly sick video compilation released by the Clover Group on “Victory Day,” we see what true Russian “victory” looks like–the genocidal murder of Ukrainians. The video begins with a civilian man standing still in a field. Perhaps he was attempting to avoid detection by the drone in hopes that it would pass him over for a more “valuable” target. As the drone slows and hangs above him, the man goes into a fetal position to brace for the impact of the grenade. The drone attacks the unarmed man via a skid-drop, raking the man’s back with shrapnel. As he rolls to his back in shock from his wounds, the Russian drone pilot murders the man with a fatal skid-drop near the man’s head. A personal note here–this is one of the most blatant and truly disgusting example of Russia’s genocidal Human Safari massacre in Kherson Oblast.
Video: Clover Group
Geolocations by PJ “giK” and Foobi for Ukraine Daily Update Map
Kherson Police reported that a 47-year-old man from Sablukivka was killed via a Russian drone strike on 2 May. According to geolocated evidence, the strike in question took place just outside of the neighboring settlement of Kachkarivka, making this a likely match.
NEW: The Alpha Group
Photo: Alpha Group
The Alpha Group created their channel on 15 February 2025 and were immediately identified on 5 March by major Russian milblogger, Two Majors, as being linked to the 28th Motor Rifle Regiment of the 70th Motor Rifle Division. The 70th Motor Rifle Division is infamous for its failures in the Kherson Direction, namely the obliteration of the 17th Tank Regiment during the Battle of Krynky in 2023-2024. In addition to posting their war crimes, they also occasionally indulge their audience in pornographic or semi-pornographic content intended to be humorous. It’s a rather uniquely odd trait amongst all of the Kherson Direction Russian drone groups and correspondents in the mil-blogosphere, which felt worthy of at least a mention.
#1
03.05.2025
FPV drone strikes from the Alpha Group were shared by the renowned Russian milblogger Two Majors on 5 March. It was this series of posts in which we were given confirmation of the unit being a part of the 28th Regiment. The post identifies the pilot by the callsign “Povar.”
Video: Alpha Group
#2
05.12.2025
A Russian drone from the Alpha Group drops incendiary munitions onto roofs of Ukrainian-held positions in Dachi. This indicates a continued Ukrainian presence across the river on the Russian-occupied Left Bank.
Video: Alpha Group
Geolocation by me: 46.664190,32.727500
#3
05.12.2025
A Russian drone attacks a woman and several dogs in Antonivka.
Video: Alpha Group
Geolocation by me: 46.679083,32.731123
NEW: Atomic Warriors
Photo: Atomic Warriors
The Atomic Warriors are a drone group linked to the 1854th Motor Rifle Battalion, a territorial infantry battalion, according to UA Control Map. This group is operational roughly from Chervonyi Mayak in the north to Zmiivka in the south. A signature feature of their posting is that they share a lot of night-vision and thermal FPV drone footage.
#1
05.12.2025
A four-door sedan hit via thermal/night-vision FPV strike.
Video: Atomic Warriors
#2
05.14.2025
3 people were hit via a thermal/night-vision FPV strike. Based on the video, only two people were seemingly hit by the FPV strike, while the third person was hiding a few meters away. This could be a couple of incidents reported in early May:
On 4 May, Kherson Police reported 3 police officers (ages 27, 42, and 45) were wounded via an FPV drone strike in Beryslav.
On 6 May, a 26 year-old man was killed and two other men, ages 54 & 57, were injured in a drone strike in the village of Chervonyi Yar.
Video: Atomic Warriors
Checking Back with Delta Group
Photo: Delta Group
I first brought to light the operations and suspected crimes of the Delta Group back in March. After two months, a check-up is warranted. This drone group’s typical modus operandi is to hold onto their drone footage until to be released as part of a weekly compilation. Occasionally, extra clips like airstrikes are posted outside of their regular posting practices.
#1
04.27.2025
A compilation of drone strikes on vehicles in Komyshany.
Video: Delta Group
Geolocations by me:
01:24 46.63212426080892, 32.49206526433687
01:36 46.63854615523252, 32.49561840687825
#2
04.29.2025
A compilation of airstrikes and shelling on Kherson city.
Video: Delta Group
#3
05.07.2025
A Russian FPV drone strikes a communications antenna on the top of a high rise in Kherson city. Check this week’s data on infrastructure damage to see how the Delta Group made efforts to cut off communications with Kherson city itself.
Video: Delta Group
To be further informed on the Delta Group, check out my previous investigation into the Russian drone team, here.
More Molniya Drone Tactics: Deep Strikes
Photos: Kherson ODA
The 104th Guards Air Assault Division’s Molniya operators continued their terror tactics, although seemingly striking much deeper than they’ve shown previously. Typically, geolocated evidence has shown Molniya drones being used against structures in the villages of L’vove, Olhivka, Mykolaivka, and Burhunka, west-southwest of Beryslav. In mid April, they began to strike the village of Vysoke in Beryslav Raion–some 20-25 km from the Russian-occupied Left Bank of the Dnipro River.
Photo: Ukraine Daily Update Map
A series of Molniya-1 & Molniya-2 strikes targeted residential areas in the northwest portion of Vysoke throughout the third week of April 2025. Strikes were reported by Kherson Oblast officials in Vysoke seven days in a row, resulting in at least two civilian casualties. On 14 April, the Kherson ODA reported a 25 year-old mother and her 7 year-old son were both injured by a Russian UAV strike on a residential building around 9 pm. Based on video evidence shared by the 104th, we can see nighttime Molniya strikes were likely responsible for this war crime. Seemingly reaching a fever pitch on 19 April, four drones reportedly attacked the settlement–fortunately without casualties.
#1
04.14.2025
Photos: Airlines VDV
In the first deep Molniya strike video, To enable deeper Molniya strikes, the 104th reached for two munitions to supplant their usual TM-62 anti-tank mines. The first three-quarters of the video features the operations of the group’s sapper-engineer modifying munitions to construct a warhead for a Molniya-2 fixed-wing kamikaze drone. PTM-3 anti-vehicle mines were broken out of their MRL-deliverable canister, each weighing 4.9 kg, of which 1.8 kg are explosive material. Next, the sapper-engineer attached a MON-100 anti-personnel mine, weighing about 5 kg, of which 2 kg are explosive. These munitions are significantly lighter than the TM-62 mines, allowing the unit to extend the Molniya’s range deeper into Kherson. For comparison, a TM-62 weighs 9.5 kg, of which 5 kg are explosive. Changing the munition type and lightening the weight of the munition seemingly enabled these deeper attacks.
According to the video, the drone seemingly hit residential buildings in the northwestern part of Vysoke.
Video: Airlines VDV
Geolocation by foosint on Ukraine Daily Update Map
#2
04.16.2025
Another new feature of the 104th’s Molniya strikes is the implementation of thermal or night-vision capabilities. This video shows the operations of the navigator or pilot of one of the 104th’s drone teams under the cover of darkness, as he carries a Molniya-1 (identifiable by its nose-propeller) and its launching catapult to a launch site.
In this video, two separate Molniya strikes can be seen, targeting the same residential neighborhood in the town as that shown in the previous video.
Video: Airlines VDV
Geolocation by Road to Mars for Ukraine Daily Update Map
Russian FPV Interceptions
Photos: Kirill Fedorov
Russian forces have been publishing footage of their anti-drone warfare efforts in the Kherson Direction, characterized mostly by FPV interceptions of various classes of Ukrainian drones. C-UAS (Counter-Unmanned Systems) warfare is being conducted by units subordinate to the 61st Guards Naval Infantry Brigade and the newly formed Integrated Electronic Anti-Drone Warfare Unit “KRAB,” subordinate to the 49th Combined Arms Army Corps.
For more on KRAB and their crucial role in Russian operations in the Kherson Direction, see my previous investigation into one of their team members, here.
#1
03.31.2025
A compilation of Russian FPV drones from the 61st Guards Naval Infantry Brigade shows hits on 13 different Ukrainian reconnaissance, heavy bomber quadcopters, and strike UAVs.
Video: Kirill Fedorov
Geolocation by Andrew Perpetua for Ukraine Daily Update Map
In the video, the following Ukrainian-operated UAV models are hit by Russian FPV interceptors:
Athlon Avia A1-CM “Furiya”: 3
Photo: Kirill Fedorov
Ukrspecsystems SHARK UAV: 2
Photo: Kirill Fedorov
DeViRo Leleka-100: 2
Photo: Kirill Fedorov
RQ-35 Heidrun: 1
Photo: Kirill Fedorov
DART UAV: 1
Photo: Kirill Fedorov
Most of these models are reconnaissance drones used by the ZSU, except the DART. The DART should be thought of as an analog to the Russian Molniya drone, albeit with only half the payload capacity.
A Soon-To-Be-Named Satellite-Connected Heavy Bomber Prototype: 3
Photo: Kirill Fedorov
Based purely on a visual analysis of these three intercepted quadcopters, I can confidently say they are NOT Vampire, HeavyShot, R-18, Kazhan, or Nemesis drones. The first interception provides the clearest view of this platform. If you are interested in seeing more of these, I’ve already talked about them in Kherson Weekly, but I did mistakenly call it a new Nemesis variant. I’ll accept the loss on that, but I’m excited about this platform. Check out that previous article from late January 2025 below.
They appear to be most like Kazhan drones in physical form, but they also have a satellite terminal attached to the top of the chassis, which is characteristic of only. Kazhan does not have any known models with satellite guidance and Nemesis does not have a chassis that looks anything like these ones. The landing gear are specifically different–unlike that of both Kazhan and Nemesis. We do not have a known name for this platform. I think I know who the manufacturer is, but until I have confirmation from official sources, I will leave it at that. Still, another satellite heavy bomber drone could prove incredibly effective in disrupting logistics several kilometers behind the Left Bank, ambushing rotations of Russian infantry to frontline positions, or eliminating groups of Russian crossing the Dnipro in boats or hiding amongst the Dnipro Delta’s islands.
#2
04.03.2025
A Russian FPV interceptor operator named “Redhead” from the 61st Guards Naval Infantry Brigade intercepts a Ukrainian A1-SM “Furiya” –an important Ukrainian reconnaissance drone used in guiding munitions to targets.
Video: Voin DV
The Ukrainian 40th Separate Coastal Defense Brigade is confirmed to be operating these fixed-wing UAV platforms. The Brigade was featured in frontline reports from the Ukrainian mainstream media outlets Suspilne and ICTV. Both reports showcase the operation of SHARK fixed-wing reconnaissance UAVs.
Suspilne’s report from 15 March 2025
Video: 40th Separate Coastal Defense Brigade
ICTV’s report from 3 April 2025
Video: 40th Separate Coastal Defense Brigade
Given the importance of reconnaissance UAVs in designating targets for strike UAVs, artillery, and other guided munitions, perhaps Ukrainian UAV operators will adapt to the threat of FPV interceptors much like the Russians have. In recent months, Russian forces have added rear-facing cameras to their ZALA and Supercam reconnaissance UAVs to prevent Ukrainian FPV interceptors from approaching them from behind.
To read more on FPV interceptions, please check out my Tochnyi colleague Artem’s incredible research into Ukrainian FPV interceptors being used against Russian reconnaissance and strike UAVs.
Data Updates
This week’s edition has some significant updates for the data fiends in my audience:
Ukrainian Counter-Drone Operations
Operational Command South Hits & Losses
Tracking Russian Terror
Civilian Casualties 19 April-16 May 2025
Damaged Buildings & Infrastructure Report
Damaged Vehicle Report
Ukrainian Counter-Drone Operations Data
Data: Oleksandr Prokudin, Oleksandr Prokudin, Oleksandr Prokudin, Oleksandr Prokudin, Oleksandr Prokudin, Oleksandr Prokudin
Running Totals since 20 January 2025
Total Russian Drone Attacks
Kherson Oblast: 27,959
Khersonska Urban Hromada: 9,705
Outside Khersonska Urban Hromada: 18,254
Total Destroyed Russian Drones
Kherson Oblast: 22,578
Khersonska Urban Hromada: 8,278
Outside Khersonska Urban Hromada: 14,300
Total Successful Russian Drones Attacks
Kherson Oblast: 5,381
Khersonska Urban Hromada: 1,427
Outside Khersonska Urban Hromada: 3,954
Weekly Averages since 20 January 2025
Weekly Avg. Russian Drone Attacks
Kherson Oblast: 1863.93
Khersonska Urban Hromada: 647
Outside Khersonska Urban Hromada: 1216.93
Weekly Avg. Destroyed Russian Drones
Kherson Oblast: 1505.2
Khersonska Urban Hromada: 551.87
Outside Khersonska Urban Hromada: 953.33
Weekly Avg. Successful Russian Drones Attacks
Kherson Oblast: 358.73
Khersonska Urban Hromada: 95.13
Outside Khersonska Urban Hromada: 263.6
Data: Brendan Kelley
Data: Brendan Kelley
Russian drone attacks across Kherson Oblast have risen to almost 2100 per week in the last three weeks. After a lull in late March and early April, these past three weeks have been the most dangerous stretch of time since late February to mid-March. Overall, successful Russian drone attacks are climbing, but they remain below their peak in mid-March. The number of Russian drones destroyed has also been generally higher than when we last discussed these operations six weeks ago, although lower than the peak in early March. With closer inspection, we can see some trends specific to Khersonska Hromada and some specific to the other territories in Kherson Raion and all of Beryslav Raion.
Khersonska Urban Hromada
Weekly attacks inside Kherson city and its surrounding communities have hovered around 500 per week since March, yet late April and early May have seen weekly attacks rise steadily from 500 to almost 750 per week. This shows Russian forces are working back up to their peak of activity, stretching from late February to mid-March. The proportion of those attacks which yielded successful Russian drone strikes have risen beyond their mid-March peak of 128. Six weeks ago, just 54 successful strikes were recorded in Kherson, but they hit a new peak with 167 successful Russian strikes recorded in the Urban Hromada in mid-May. Despite the overall volume of attacks in Kherson city being lower by a third or even half in April and May, they are proving to be significantly more effective.
Outside Khersonska Hromada
Despite the increase in volume of attacks, it does seem that the level of successful drone strikes outside Khersonska Urban Hromada have remained low. In comparison to February and March 2025, the volume of drone attacks was significantly less and Russian strikes were far more successful. In April and May 2025, Russian drone attacks were consistently over 1200 per week, while approaching 1600 attacks at the peak. While in February and March, drone attacks were peaking around 1200 and only averaging just over 1000. For fives weeks straight in between February and March, there were over 300 successful Russian drone strikes per week. However, the last five weeks have yielded less than 300 successful strikes per week. This drop in successful Russian drone strikes outside Khersonska Urban Hromada also corresponds to a significant increase in destroyed Russian drones, perhaps suggesting a significant expansion of Ukrainian C-UAS operations in the more peripheral communities of Kherson & Beryslav Raions.
Operational Command South Hits & Losses Data
Data: Brendan Kelley
Russian Loss Totals By Platform (20.12.2024-16.05.2025)
Data: Brendan Kelley
Ukrainian forces continue their trend of destroying Russian blindages in droves, while also targeting other Russian logistical infrastructure like generators, fuel depots, ammo dumps, motor pools, and warehouses.
An interesting addition to the dataset: two UGVs reported as destroyed—one on 30 April and the other on 12 May.
Russian Losses Daily Avg. By Platform (20.12.2024-16.05.2025)
Data: Brendan Kelley
Russian Personnel Daily Losses—Southern Front (20.12.2024-16.05.2025)
Data: Brendan Kelley
Only interesting note: there was a record spike in Russian personnel losses, coinciding with increased assaults across the Southern Front, ahead of the “Victory Day” truce. On 6 May, a record 248 personnel were eliminated, followed by 205 and 213 the subsequent two days. The Russian truce however still proved deadly for some 109 Russian personnel along the Southern Front.
Russian Personnel Daily Losses—Southern Front (20.12.2024-16.05.2025)
December (from 20.12.2024): 646
January: 1654
February: 1827
March: 3135
April: 2565
May (up to 16.05.2025): 2156
Total: 11,983
Operational Command South Offensive Data
Data: Brendan Kelley
Kherson Direction
Continuing our analysis from several months ago, we can see the continuing trend of Russian offensive actions ramping up in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, while activity in the Kherson Direction has remained relatively constant since, albeit in much less volume than what we saw in December and January. Brief spikes appear every so often in the reports from Ukraine’s Operational Command South, but the daily average of Russian riverine assaults in the Kherson Direction remains low at 1.5. Oddly enough, the most active day for Russian assaults was “Victory Day,” on which there was supposed to be a temporary truce or ceasefire, declared by the Russians themselves.
Orikhiv Direction
Russian attention toward Orikhiv is nothing compared to what it was earlier this year in early March, but still it remains the focus of the Russian forces along the Southern Front. The days leading up to the “Victory Day” truce were particularly active, as Russian forces sought to expand territorial control prior to any potential official ceasefire or settlement that may have resulted from the ongoing “peace negotiations.” Six assaults occurred on “Victory Day” itself, according to the reports from Operation Command South.
Huliaipole Direction
Since peaking in mid-April, offensive action near the city of Huliaipole in northeastern Zaporizhzhia Oblast has essentially stopped, with reports of offensive groups being formed, battered units refitted, and logistics improved. There was a brief spike in activity leading up to the “Victory Day” truce, but since 7 May, no offensive actions have been taken by Russian forces in this direction.
Data: Brendan Kelley
Total Russian Assaults—Southern Front (20.12.2024-16.05.2025)
Dnipro River Delta, Kherson Oblast: 224
Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia Oblast: 447
Huliaipole, Zaporizhzhia Oblast: 328
Daily Avg. Russian Assaults—Southern Front (20.12.2024-16.05.2025)
Dnipro River Delta, Kherson Oblast: 1.52
Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia Oblast: 3.04
Huliaipole, Zaporizhzhia Oblast: 2.23
Tracking Russian Terror
In all of April, Russian forces maimed or murdered 278 Ukrainian non-combatants in Kherson Oblast: 24 people were killed and another 254 civilians were wounded by Russian attacks. Of those victims, Russian drone attacks killed 12 and wounded 139 civilians, while miscellaneous shelling and bombing killed 12 and wounded 105 civilians. 4 civilians were wounded by UXO, IEDs, or landmines.
Data: Brendan Kelley
Since 1 January 2025, Russian attacks on civilians have resulted in 1211 civilian casualties (128 killed, 1083 wounded) across all of Kherson Oblast. Drones are responsible for the deaths of 77 people and injuries to 654 more, while all forms of Russian shelling and bombing combined were responsible for the deaths of 51 people and injuries to 402 others. 27 civilians have been wounded by UXO, IEDs, or landmines.
Data: Brendan Kelley
In Kherson Raion, 2938 civilians have been killed or wounded by Russian aggression since January 2024, as of 16 May 2025. 157 civilians have been killed by various forms of bombing and shelling, while 1314 have been wounded. Another 114 civilians have been killed by drones, while 1317 civilians have been injured (a total of 1431 non-combatant drone casualties). Furthermore, at least 2 civilians have been killed and another 34 wounded by UXO, IEDs, or landmines.
Data: Brendan Kelley
In Beryslav Raion, 501 civilians have been killed or wounded by Russian aggression since the start of 2024. 14 civilians have been killed by shelling, while 129 have been wounded. Another 36 civilians have been killed by drones, while 284 civilians have been injured (a total of 322 non-combatant drone casualties since January 2024). Furthermore, at least 2 civilians have been killed and another 36 wounded by UXO, IEDs, or landmines.
In total, since January 2024, 3439 civilians have been killed or wounded by Russian aggression in Kherson Oblast. 323 civilians have been killed and 3116 civilians have been wounded. 150 civilians have been killed by drones, while another 1600 have been wounded. 169 civilians have been killed by shelling and bombing combined, while another 1438 have been wounded. 4 civilians have been killed, while another 70 have been wounded by UXO, IEDs, or landmines.
Civilian Casualties 19 April-16 May 2025
Kherson Raion
Shelling:
Killed: 7
Wounded: 68
Drones:
Killed: 6
Wounded: 78
UXO:
Killed: 0
Wounded: 7
Total: 166 (13 killed, 153 wounded)
Data: Brendan Kelley
Beryslav Raion
Shelling:
Killed: 0
Wounded: 1
Drones:
Killed: 3
Wounded: 20
UXO:
Killed: 0
Wounded: 5
Total: 29 (3 killed, 26 wounded)
Data: Brendan Kelley
Damaged Buildings & Infrastructure Report
Photos: Kherson MDA
Private Homes & Apartments: 298
“Critical Infrastructure Facilities”: 3
Gas & Heating Pipelines: at least 13
Gas Stations: 1
Generators: 1
Municipal Utility Services: 1
Cell Phone Towers: 5
Railway Infrastructure: 1
Educational Institutions: 7
Administrative Buildings: 9
Medical Facilities: 4
Religious Buildings: 1
Private Businesses: at least 6
Recreational Centers: 1
Breweries: 1
Farms: 1
Hotels: 1
Supermarkets: 1
Post Offices: 1
Banks: 1
Garages & Warehouses: 29
Hangars: 2
Data: Kherson Police
Damaged Vehicle Report
Photos: Kherson MDA; Kherson ODA; Oleksandr Prokudin
Civilian Automobiles: 61
Police & EMS: 11
Humanitarian Aid Trucks: 1
Fuel Tanker Trucks: 1
Motorcycles: 1
Locomotives: 1
Data: Kherson Police
Kherson will NEVER be a Russian city.
Sources
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